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Delaware River Basin Project

Modeling Urban Expansion in the Philadelphia Metropolitan Area; A Cellular Automata Approach

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Modeling Urban Expansion in the Philadelphia Metropolitan Area; A Cellular Automata Approach
Historical land-use data from the twentieth century was used as input to the SLEUTH land-use change model, a Cellular Automata model developed by Keith Clarke at the University of California at Santa Barbara, to produce projections of urban expansion in the Philadelphia metropolitan area.

Twentieth-Century Land Surface Changes in the Delaware Water Gap Basin, a GIS Snapshot Approach
Methods of integrating land-surface data and measuring change with time are being tested on historical land use/land cover data of the Delaware Water Gap watershed area in Pennsylvania.

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Home Study Area Land Cover Database Urban Growth Modeling Posters

Urban Growth Modeling

The Clarke Urban Growth model (see "Project Gigalopolis") is being used together with the Philadelphia temporal mapping database to create foreseeable scenarios for urban growth planning purposes. Growth projections for the entire Philadelphia metropolitan area are planned to be calibrated on Beowulf cluster.

Modifications to the Clarke model are being made at Mid-Continent Geographic Science Center (MCGSC) to allow experimentation with various urban growth factors for input to the model.

Chester County growth projections 1981-2025
Click to animate: Chester County Pennsylvania Growth Projections 1981-2025
(288k gif image)

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Page Last Modified: Wednesday, 09-Jan-2008 14:02:10 EST